PUBLICATIONS

Anarchical scenes as protestors burn buildings in Durban during South Africa’s violent unrest in July 2021. Photo credit: BBC World News

The Southern African Development Community’s (SADC) Reaction to Security Threats in South Africa and Eswatini

In June and July 2021, violent protests which led to loss of lives and property erupted in Eswatini and South Africa respectively. In Eswatini, pro-democracy groups demanded political reforms. The arrest of South Africa’s former President, Jacob Zuma, triggered violent social unrest in South Africa. This paper assesses SADC’s reaction to the protests in the two countries. The paper contends that SADC’s reaction exposed the regional bloc’s fault lines. The paper recommends the adoption of a pragmatic, proactive, sustainable, and maximalist approach to conflict prevention and management by SADC.

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Federica Mogherini and the African Union Chair, Mr. Moussa Faki, February 2018. Credit: EEAS

African Continental Free Trade Area (AfCFTA): The Engine Behind Accelerated Growth After the COVID-19 Economic Saga

The disruptive impact of the COVID-19 pandemic has led to calls for greater market integration and industrialisation efforts. The African Union (AU) Secretary General cites the African Continental Free Trade Area (AfCFTA) as “the stimulus package” for Africa post-COVID. Yet, obstacles ranging from ubiquitous red tape, poor infrastructure, political unrest, excessive border bureaucracy and petty corruption to the entrenched protectionism of some of its members must first be overcome. This paper aims to provide policy recommendations on how African states could address these challenges and reap the best out of the AfCFTA Agreement.

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Computer Laptop

The Rise of Cyber-Attacks in Kenya: A New Terrorist Landscape

The digital landscape in Kenya is rapidly evolving, leaving critical infrastructure exposed to data breaches and malicious activity. Remote workers and businesses are easy targets for cyber criminals seeking to extract Personal Identifiable Information (PII) and valuable data. Phishing attempts, malware attacks, and other cyber threats are becoming increasingly concerning due to the rise in organized cybercrime groups, ransomware gangs, and bots seeking to exploit vulnerable cloud networks, outdated software, and unprotected devices.

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Ugandan African Union peacekeepers in Mogadishu, Somalia.

Political Currency and Liquidity in the Political Marketplace: Case Studies from Northwest Africa

The political marketplace is a framework for studying political contestation that posits political players can be understood as entrepreneurs acting in a marketplace buying and selling the commodity of loyalty. This paper extends current theory by proposing that political budgets are (1) comprised of three currencies – namely money, violence, and social capital – and (2) that these currencies are interconvertible. However, they are not always freely interconvertible thanks to liquidity shortages in the marketplace. This paper conceptualizes the idea of liquidity events that profoundly impact the liquidity and interconvertibility of currencies in that marketplace. It concludes with several lessons for policymakers.

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Anarchical scenes as protestors burn buildings in Durban during South Africa’s violent unrest in July 2021. Photo credit: BBC World News

The Southern African Development Community’s (SADC) Reaction to Security Threats in South Africa and Eswatini

In June and July 2021, violent protests which led to loss of lives and property erupted in Eswatini and South Africa respectively. In Eswatini, pro-democracy groups demanded political reforms. The arrest of South Africa’s former President, Jacob Zuma, triggered violent social unrest in South Africa. This paper assesses SADC’s reaction to the protests in the two countries. The paper contends that SADC’s reaction exposed the regional bloc’s fault lines. The paper recommends the adoption of a pragmatic, proactive, sustainable, and maximalist approach to conflict prevention and management by SADC.

Read More »
Federica Mogherini and the African Union Chair, Mr. Moussa Faki, February 2018. Credit: EEAS

African Continental Free Trade Area (AfCFTA): The Engine Behind Accelerated Growth After the COVID-19 Economic Saga

The disruptive impact of the COVID-19 pandemic has led to calls for greater market integration and industrialisation efforts. The African Union (AU) Secretary General cites the African Continental Free Trade Area (AfCFTA) as “the stimulus package” for Africa post-COVID. Yet, obstacles ranging from ubiquitous red tape, poor infrastructure, political unrest, excessive border bureaucracy and petty corruption to the entrenched protectionism of some of its members must first be overcome. This paper aims to provide policy recommendations on how African states could address these challenges and reap the best out of the AfCFTA Agreement.

Read More »

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The Africa Center for Strategic Progress